11 December 2025

Twilight of Diplomacy

The recent seizure of a Venezuelan oil tanker by the United States, coupled with escalating threats against President Nicolás Maduro and the highly inflammatory sanctioning of the International Criminal Court (ICC), represents more than just a series of foreign policy actions—it signals a dangerous paradigm shift. These acts of flagrant unilateralism have not only inflamed tensions in the Caribbean but also fundamentally undermine the US position as a reliable guarantor of the global rules-based order, potentially spelling the end of conventional US global leadership and cementing its status as a rogue state in the geopolitical arena.

The seizure of the oil tanker, which Venezuela immediately condemned as international piracy and a blatant theft, is a dramatic breach of the principle of sovereign non-interference. Regardless of the legal justifications cited by the US—allegations of sanctioned oil transport or ties to illicit networks—the use of military or quasi-military force on the high seas to commandeer a commercial vessel is an act of economic warfare. It leverages military dominance to enforce US domestic policy extraterritorially, bypassing international consensus and institutions. This approach confirms the fears of nations worldwide: that international law is a convenience, not a constraint, for a sufficiently powerful state.

This overt assault on Venezuelan sovereignty, intensified by a sustained campaign of military posturing and threats against the Maduro regime, reveals a policy driven by resource and regime-change objectives rather than diplomatic stability. Venezuela, which possesses the world's largest proven oil reserves, views the aggression as an undisguised grab for its natural wealth, a perspective echoed by many observers in the Global South. This transactional, America First unilateralism corrodes alliances and provides political ammunition to rival powers like China and Russia, who are eager to paint the US as an unreliable and aggressive hegemon.

The crisis is compounded by the administration's repeated, unreserved attacks on the International Criminal Court (ICC). By imposing sanctions on ICC judges and prosecutors, the US is not merely rejecting the court's jurisdiction; it is actively attempting to sabotage the internal criminal courts—the very mechanisms established by the global community to prosecute the gravest crimes, which every responsible nation is expected to respect. The sanctions, intended to obstruct investigations into alleged crimes by US and allied personnel, are an unprecedented declaration that the US stands above international judicial scrutiny. As UN experts have noted, this is an assault on global rule of law, prioritizing political expediency over accountability and undermining the entire post-WWII legal framework.

These combined actions—the overt economic aggression against a sovereign state and the frontal attack on the institutional pillars of global justice—paint a clear picture. By choosing brute force and punitive sanctions over diplomacy and multilateralism, the current US administration is setting a precedent for a new, anarchic global order defined by might makes right. This retreat from international norms erodes the diplomatic capital of the United States, alienates traditional allies, and validates the perception that the US is rapidly abandoning the principles it once championed. The long-term cost of this reckless policy may not just be the downfall of a single presidency, but the permanent redefinition of the United States as an unpredictable and dangerous actor, forever stripping it of the moral and legal authority required for global leadership.