20 June 2025

Strait of Hormuz

The Strait of Hormuz, a narrow waterway connecting the Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea, stands as the world's most critical chokepoint for oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) transit. Its strategic importance is undeniable, with approximately one-fifth of global petroleum liquids consumption and a significant portion of the world's LNG trade passing through its constricted lanes annually. This vital artery facilitates the export of vast energy resources from major producers like Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Qatar, Iraq, and Iran to energy-hungry markets worldwide, particularly in Asia. Any disruption to traffic in the Strait of Hormuz could trigger substantial supply delays, skyrocket shipping and insurance costs, and ultimately destabilize global energy prices, leading to severe economic repercussions across the globe.

Given the Strait's critical role and the inherent geopolitical risks in the region, Gulf Arab nations and other stakeholders have explored and developed alternative routes to mitigate potential disruptions. The most prominent of these alternatives are oil pipelines designed to bypass the strait. Saudi Arabia operates the East-West Crude Oil Pipeline, also known as Petroline, which transports crude from its eastern oil fields to the Red Sea port of Yanbu. This pipeline boasts a capacity of five million barrels per day, offering a significant, albeit partial, bypass option, and has been utilized more frequently during periods of heightened regional instability. Similarly, the United Arab Emirates has established the Abu Dhabi Crude Oil Pipeline, linking its onshore fields directly to the Fujairah export terminal on the Gulf of Oman, thereby circumventing the Strait of Hormuz. This pipeline has a capacity of 1.5 to 1.8 million barrels per day. Even Iran has inaugurated its own Goreh-Jask pipeline and export terminal on the Gulf of Oman, allowing for some oil exports without transiting the chokepoint, though its effective capacity is considerably smaller at around 300,000 barrels per day.

Despite the existence of these alternative pipelines, their collective capacity is estimated to be around 2.6 to 3.5 million barrels per day, which falls far short of the over 20 million barrels per day that typically flows through the Strait of Hormuz. This disparity highlights the fundamental limitation of these bypass options: they cannot fully absorb the enormous volumes of oil and gas that depend on the Strait. Expanding pipeline infrastructure to match the Strait's capacity would be an immensely costly and time-consuming undertaking. Furthermore, while discussions about diversifying energy sources and increasing strategic petroleum reserves are ongoing among consumer nations, the logistical and economic realities underscore that the Strait of Hormuz remains an indispensable conduit for global energy flows.

While strategic pipelines offer valuable, albeit limited, alternative routes for a portion of the region's oil exports, the Strait of Hormuz unequivocally remains the lynchpin of global energy security. Its unparalleled capacity and geographical significance mean that no existing alternative can fully replicate its function. Therefore, despite efforts to reduce reliance, the international community continues to view the unimpeded passage through the Strait of Hormuz as paramount for global economic stability.