9 December 2024

Japan Economic Challenges 2024

  • Persistent Deflation
  • Aging Population
  • Global Economic Uncertainty
  • Rising Inflation
  • Government Debt

China Economic Decline

Although, China's economy did falter during the initial coronavirus outbreak. The shocks led to an eventual recovery and rebound through government stimulus for economic growth. It is difficult to predict when China's economy will start to show considerable decline which may depend on several factors. However, the decline and slowdown is inevitable after the coronavirus pandemic and the global uncertainties. In past, China has implemented reforms that adapt to changing economic tides. But, all this depends on the effectiveness of these reforms and the long-term effects on the China's economy. The following factors indicate the foreseeable decline of China's economy:

Demographic Challenges:

  • Aging population
  • Shrinking labor force

Economic Rebalancing:

  • Shifting from investment-driven to consumption-driven growth
  • Transitioning to service-based economy

Debt Levels:

  • High corporate and government debt

Geopolitical Tensions:

  • Trade disputes and sanctions
  • Geopolitical risks

Regulatory Environment:

  • Government intervention

Key Destructive and Destabilizing Sectors:
  • Real Estate
  • Local Government
  • Financial
  • Technological

Communism in China and Russia

China's economy has flourished in success under communist government, in comparison to the failures of communism in Russia. This is down to several key areas:

Economic Reforms:

  • Deng Xiaoping's reforms
  • Gradual approach

Political Stability:

  • Authoritarian rule
  • Strong central government

Resource Management:

  • Abundant resources
  • Efficient resource allocation

Cultural Factors:

  • Work ethic
  • Social cohesion

External Factors:

  • Global integration
  • Favorable geopolitical environment

But, Russian transition from communism resulted in:
  • Economic shock therapy
  • Political instability
  • Resource curse

All successes come at a cost. China's success faces: 
  • Environmental degradation
  • Social inequality
  • Human rights abuse claims
  • Aging population
  • Rising debt levels
  • Geopolitical tensions

7 December 2024

AI for Investment Management

  • Gather dataset on entities and their fundamentals over 10 year historical records
  • Gather a live stream of sentiment data, including from last 10 years, via social media, news, economic indicators, and other sources
  • Identify the key features for extraction
  • Develop an investment strategy as preference styles (value, growth, momentum, etc) 
  • Develop a risk tolerance threshold with a defined decision making rulebook
  • Develop a matrix for uncertainty reasoning
  • Develop a target market for investment segments (retail, institutional, etc)
  • Develop a value proposition
  • Develop a Hybrid AI technique using a combination of probabilistic and structured approaches (e.g. deep learning, knowledge graph, generative ai, natural language processing, machine learning, natural computation, causal reasoning, gametheory, timeseries forecasting, multiagents)
  • Develop a set of models via train/validate/test/tune/evaluate
  • Integrate the models into a portfolio construction, trade execution, portfolio rebalancing, risk management, asset allocation, security selection, performance monitoring processes
  • Link the investment strategy against core set of themed goals: grow wealth, preserve wealth, generate income
  • Continuously monitor performance, retrain, and apply adaptive feedback
  • Incrementally add components for explainability, ethics, regulatory compliance, assurance, due diligence checks, adverse media checks, KYC checks, PEP checks, sanctions checks, vessel embargo checks, AML checks, data breach checks, entity/industry rundown, security and privacy
  • Run a regular set of policy and audit trails through the pipeline processes for transparency and governance

4 December 2024

AI Storyteller for Children

  • Gather dataset for children stories that is safe (age-appropriate, free from harmful themes, culturally sensitive)
  • Develop a privacy and security strategy
  • Develop parental control strategy for preferences
  • Choose a language model for coherence and creativity
  • Fine-tune model
  • Provide prompts for storytelling
  • Iteratively evaluate and refine
  • Provide transparency to the parent/guardian
  • Develop easy to use interface that keeps child's interest
  • Add voice and sound effects
  • Add personalization settings for characters and themes
  • Add educational elements within embedded stories which may be invaluable for home schooling
  • Incorporate accessibility patterns especially for children with disabilities
  • Add adaptive preferences from user feedback

Stand-up Comedy

Writing Technique:

  • Observational humor
  • Character comedy
  • Self-deprecating humor
  • Satire and social commentary
  • Wordplay and puns
Performance Technique:
  • Delivery
  • Stage presence
  • Physical comedy
  • Audience interaction
  • Storytelling
  • Improvisation
  • Crowd work
How to create an AI Comedian:
  • Gather dataset for standup comedy scripts
  • Create a vectorized vocabulary
  • Choose a language model (linguistic tools to express ideas clearly and concisely)
  • Train model on dataset
  • Fine-tune the model
  • Create a custom metaphor model (creative spark to see the world in a unique and unexpected ways)
  • Iteratively evaluate model
  • Provide prompts for text generation
  • Add voice and tonality patterns
  • Add timing and delivery patterns
  • Add body language and gestures
  • Add audience interaction patterns
  • Add adaptive preferences (for audience reactions, feedback cycle, adjust performance styles and patterns)

Database of How Companies Deploy LLMs

Database of How Companies Deploy LLMs

3 December 2024

Palestine vs Israel

Mention of Palestine Across The Different Versions of the Bible:

  • King James Version (KJV): The word "Palestine" appears once in the KJV, in Joel 3:4. The word "Palestina" appears three times (Exodus 15:14; Isaiah 14:29, 31). In these KJV instances, the Hebrew word being translated is "Pelesheth" which usually refers to "Philistia."

  • Other English Versions: Most other modern English Bible translations generally use "Philistia" instead of "Palestine" when translating "Pelesheth" in the Old Testament. This is because "Pelesheth" specifically referred to the land of the Philistines. Therefore, the word "Palestine" is much less common in these versions.

  • Old Testament Context: The word related to "Palestine" originally appeared in the Hebrew Bible in reference to the area occupied by the Philistines. The term evolved over time to refer to a wider geographical region.

  • New Testament Context: The New Testament was written in Greek, and the region was known by various names, including Judea, Galilee, and Syria Palaestina (a term used by the Romans). The specific term "Palestine" is not typically found in most New Testament translations.

While "Palestine" appears a few times in the King James Version, it's not a common term throughout the Bible. Many modern translations avoid it in the Old Testament, preferring "Philistia," and it's generally not used in the New Testament.